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Gov Palin Has The Most Valuable Commodity A Presidential Candidate Can Have: A BASE

Wednesday, July 08, 2009 3 Responses
Roger Stone wrote a great piece entitled “Palin’s Palin.” He discusses how Governor Palin had nothing to gain and much to loose by staying as Governor. She is also not the first politican to follow this path and will have to repair the damage the media has done. He recommends The Governor could use Fox News “to re-tool her political image...and she can have 60 minutes each week to do it.”

Palin could accomplish nothing more as Governor to burnish her "experience" credentials. Nuisance lawsuits and ethics complaints from garden variety left-wing nuts were costing her hundreds of thousands of dollars and paralyzing state government. The lot of the Governor is painful cuts and delivering bad news for the next 18 months. Who needs it?

Palin has the most valuable commodity a Presidential candidate can have - a base. Between roughly 23% of Americans and 68% of Republicans have a favorable view of Palin. She alone has the kind of intense following. She alone can fill a large hall or small stadium anywhere in Republican Country. This is similar to the following that sustained Nixon through two defeats and his 'self-destruction' in 1962 to win the White House in 1968.

The "New Palin" is crucial to the expansion beyond her base of true believers to be a viable presidential candidate. The obvious place for Palin to re-tool her political image is FOX television. FOX's viewers are Palin's potential voters. It is ironic that FOX president Roger Ailes is the genius TV producer who erased candidate Nixon's flaws in a controlled environment and facilitated the greatest political comeback in American history, is at the helm at FOX.

As Bill Kristol, the only DC based analyst who "gets it" said the move also frees Palin to "write her book, give speeches, travel the country, and educate herself on some issues." It also frees her to build a net work of fundraisers and supporters throughout the country - many of whom will be her TV viewers.

Palin's stunning move guarantees an outsider strategy in which Palin is a movement but not a party candidate. No decision on running should be made until 2011 and focus must be on image repair. This is a woman who held off 36 year Senate vet Joe Biden in a 90 minute debate. She may just be up to the task.

Full Article At:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/07/07/palins_plan_97333.html

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Governor Palin 4 President? 72% GOP, 44% Ind & 17% Dem Say Yes

Wednesday, July 08, 2009 0 Responses
PRINCETON, NJ -- Governor Palin's resignation -- announced last Friday -- fueled speculation that she may be setting up a run for president in 2012. A new USA Today/Gallup poll asked several questions and the results were very interesting.


Are you very likely or some what likely to vote for Governor Palin in 2012?
72% of Republican voters are likely to vote for Palin and 44% of Independents and 17% Democratic

In 2005 Gallup asked about Hillary Clinton running for president, 52% of registered voters said they were likely to vote for her and 28% were very likely to do so.


Does Governor Palin have a major role as a national political figure?
67% of Republicans, 34% of Independents, and 18% of Democrats thought so.

Has your opinion of Governor Palin changed?
70% has not changed but 17% gotten worse and 9% it has improved

Has the media coverage of Governor Palin been “unfairly negative”?
53% agree, 9% say it has been "unfairly positive" and 28% say it has been "about right."


The Full Article:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/121514/Americans-Political-Future-Palin.aspx

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Gov Palin Trusts Her Instincts, Smells Blood & It Isn’t Her Own

Tuesday, July 07, 2009 7 Responses
Governor Palin’s decision to resign as governor of Alaska so that she could, “advance in another direction,” was a brilliant political move.

She senses, or sees, or grasps what few in politics understand today. Americans are tired of the same old, same old — be it Republican, Democratic, or even Green Party.

The sound of thundering hoofs coming over the hill is apparent to any real student of political history. However, it seems that only an unlikely moose hunter like Palin has put her ear to the ground to listen.

Add to this the perfect set up for a woman who is charismatic and really connects with people, instead of a teleprompter, a fawning overpaid staff, or a purchased press, and you see where Palin is headed.

She intends to forge a coalition of those increasingly large numbers of Americans “with noses pressed to the window” looking in at the “swells” in the fancy ball gowns and tuxedos who are dancing the night away. Those Americans without gold plated health insurance, without jobs, without cash, cards, or even cars to call their own, are her natural constituency and she knows it.

Palin intends to start another Populist movement — without the help of the “usual suspects” — professional image consultants, handlers, inside the Beltway know-it-alls, and especially the establishment press. Gov Palin trusts her instincts, smells blood & it isn’t her own.

She is setting up a perfect stage from which to launch another run for the Presidency.

The irony is that the more criticism and ridicule Palin receives from the chattering, clattering, clapping class that has forgotten regular Americans, the more raucous support she will receive. This is the revenge of the outsiders!

Palin’s McArthur like stand will marginalize the press, the pundits, the politicians, and the oh-so-self-important elites that have produced the current economic, military, political, social, and cultural quicksand. She senses the people’s smoldering outrage and mounting fears.

Whether or not Palin makes a Presidential run is immaterial. She has set the stage for whatever option she chooses. A run for the Senate in 2010. The Presidency in 2012. A stay at home mom. A rabble rousing speaking tour. An over the top fund raiser. And of course, the already inked book deal. She is a natural. And those thundering hoofs coming over the hill are getting louder.

Full Article At:
http://www.sdnn.com/sandiego/2009-07-06/news/politics-city-county-government/colleen-oconnor-sarah-palins-move-is-brilliant-politics

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McKinnon: Gov Palin reeks of moxie & self-confidence. And she’s fearless

Monday, July 06, 2009 2 Responses
Mark McKinnon, vice chairman of Public Strategies & President of Maverick Media, wrote a great article for The Daily Beast titled "How her mind works" about the time he spent with Governor Palin.

According to McKinnon, a week out from the VP debate with Joe Biden, Gov. Palin was aware that she "was in trouble" and was unprepared:

"And she knew it would be difficult, maybe impossible to be ready. And the brief session I witnessed, verified as much and I was convinced the debate would be a disaster. But, despite the crushingly stressful situation in which she found herself, and despite the aching vulnerability, she squared up in her uniquely Palin way and made it clear to all of us in the room that she was going to bear down, get ready, and was not, under any circumstances, going to let John McCain down. But, I frankly thought she would."

"But damned if she didn’t. I watched the debate on television from Austin and was stunned. The difference in the person I’d seen just five days earlier and the woman I saw step onto the stage with Joe Biden was a complete transformation."

McKinnon describes Sarah Palin as "one of the most fascinating women I have ever met":"She crackles with energy like a live electrical wire and on first meeting gets about three inches from your face. Her instant subliminal message is: 'I don't know you very well, but I'm very clear about who I am.' She reeks of moxie and self confidence. And she’s fearless."

I have met Governor Palin 5 times (3 times on the campaign trail) and I have to agree with Mr. McKinnon. I also had the pleasure of sitting at her table (and spoke with her) for a fundraiser in West Palm Beach, FL and talked with her in Auburn, NY. She is with out a doubt the most confident person I have ever met.


http://www.thedailybeast.com/blogs-and-stories/2009-07-04/how-her-mind-works/

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